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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
11
0
comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
13
comments
82
forecasters
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?
Ambiguous
1
comment
42
forecasters
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
Current estimate
Apr 2031
Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
6
0
comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
4
comments
13
forecasters
Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?
1%
chance
Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
7
2
2
comments
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
9
comments
62
forecasters
What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?
Current estimate
0.0279%
4
comments
86
forecasters
Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?
25%
chance
4
comments
10
forecasters
Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?
50%
chance
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