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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

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Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?

Ambiguous

Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?

99%chance

When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?

Apr 2031

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

26%chance

Economist 2021 Tournament Winners

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Economist 2021

Champions of Conditional Forecasting

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Conditional Cup

Winners of the Biosecurity Tournament Short-Term Phase

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Biosecurity Tournament