• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments

Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

6
0 comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

7
22 comments
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

11
0 comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
13 comments
82 forecasters

Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?

Ambiguous
4 comments
13 forecasters

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

1%chance
4 comments
86 forecasters

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

27.8%chance
1 comment
42 forecasters

When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?

Current estimate
Apr 2031
69 comments
295 forecasters

Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?

99%chance

Champions of Conditional Forecasting

5
11 comment
Conditional Cup