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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
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Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
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Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
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Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?
Ambiguous
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
chance
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
Apr 2031
Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?
26%
chance
Economist 2021 Tournament Winners
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5
Economist 2021
Champions of Conditional Forecasting
5
1 comment
1
Conditional Cup
Winners of the Biosecurity Tournament Short-Term Phase
7
2 comments
2
Biosecurity Tournament
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