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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments

Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

11
0 comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
13 comments
82 forecasters

Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?

Ambiguous
1 comment
42 forecasters

When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?

Current estimate
Apr 2031

Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

6
0 comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
4 comments
13 forecasters

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

1%chance

Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

7
22 comments
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
9 comments
62 forecasters

What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?

Current estimate
0.0279%
4 comments
86 forecasters

Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized before 2030?

25%chance
4 comments
10 forecasters

Will there be an open-source repository of tools for alternative protein production before 2030?

50%chance