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100 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (C3.ai)

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
2 forecasters

Will any AI model achieve a score of 94% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before February 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
13 comments
92 forecasters

Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?

Someone else74.3%
Wei Yi24.9%
Gukesh Dommaraju0.1%

Key Factors

0 comments
100 forecasters

Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

In Dec 2026, what will be the median of experts' beliefs about the animal welfare benefit of investing in cultured meat relative to other animal welfare interventions?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

What is the animal welfare benefit of having donated $100k in 2026 to fund the development of cultured meat relative to having donated the same amount to The Humane League's corporate campaigns?

Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days
94 comments
93 forecasters

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

community
2.87 animals
result
Annulled
0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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