Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-25 for the Metaculus question "Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?"?
Will the community prediction be higher than 88.00% on 2025-09-27 for the Metaculus question "Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?"?
Will the community prediction be higher than 95.00% on 2025-09-26 for the Metaculus question "Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?"?
Will the community prediction be higher than 6.00% on 2025-09-25 for the Metaculus question "Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?"?
Will the community prediction be higher than 15.00% on 2025-09-23 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?