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US Democracy Index

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How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate

40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Current estimate

Contributed by the Unjournal Forecasting community.

0 comments

Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?

Current estimate

0 comments

107 forecasters

Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

10 comments

22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate

97.4B billion animals

12 comments

176 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Current estimate

57.3M birds

7 comments

16 forecasters

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Study 258.3%

Study 153%

condition

Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?

Resolved:No

508 forecasters

if yes

if no

What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?

7.85

Resolved:Annulled

What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?

7.31

Resolved:2.9228

24 24 comments

508

508 forecasters

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

0 comments

85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

4 comments

54 forecasters

What will be the average price (in cents per dozen) of eggs in the US for the week of Easter?

community

248

result

Annulled