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US Democracy Index

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Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026?

80%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments

215 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Current estimate

55.5M birds

0 comments

85 forecasters

Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the David Mathers' Community community.

0 comments

10 forecasters

Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?

22%chance

8% this week

9 comments

6 forecasters

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

65%chance

condition

Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?

Resolved:No

508 forecasters

if yes

if no

What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?

7.85

Resolved:Annulled

What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?

7.31

Resolved:2.9228

24 24 comments

508

508 forecasters

Bridgewater Forecasting Contest

10 comments

80 forecasters

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

10 comments

22 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how many animals will be slaughtered in factory farms?

Current estimate

88.3B billion animals

Contributed by the Meercast's Community Page community.

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will An American State Ban Factory Farming by 2030?

12%chance

5 comments

179 forecasters

How many pounds of chicken per capita will the US consume in 2025?

Current estimate

104 lbs