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0 comments
100 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (C3.ai)

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
4 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate
378k vehicles
1 comment

Will the following countries enact mandatory military service before 2040?

AustraliaUpcoming
BelgiumUpcoming
CanadaUpcoming
condition

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

55%
55%

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

22%
22%
1
0 comments
5
5 forecasters

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
82 comments
2.1k forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

6%chance
98 comments
98 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 95.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?"?

resultYes
93 comments
91 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 63.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?"?

resultNo
0 comments
33 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH30%
Google Cloud16%
Microsoft Azure13%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%