Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Natural Sciences

Environment & Climate

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?

125k buses (111k - 140k)

3

23

23 forecasters

Resolved67.9k buses

Will AI Daily's "AI Support" among American adults turn negative before 2027?

2

2 forecasters

%chance

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

6

56

56 forecasters

The 2026 US Midterms Tracker is Live!

8

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

10

57

57 forecasters

Market Pulse Challenge 26Q2: Can You Beat the Market and the Crowd?

7

Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

24% chance

1

816

816 forecasters

24%chance

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

9

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

3

Will the following countries enact mandatory military service before 2040?

2

7

7 forecasters

What will the percent change of the real hourly median wage of US employees be relative to 2025 in the following years?

1

25

25 forecasters

What will the percent change in people employed in law enforcement in the US relative to 2025?

1

35

35 forecasters

Labor Automation Forecasting Hub Forum

1

Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026?

27% chance

1

193

193 forecasters

27%chance

How much will the occupational mix have changed in the following years, relative to November 2022?

25

25 forecasters

What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?

40.1% (23.4 - 65.8)

3

58

58 forecasters

40.1%

(23.4 - 65.8)

What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in these years vs 2025, conditional on positive real GDP growth?

27

27 forecasters

What will the percent change in the US labor productivity be in the following years relative to 2025?

1

32

32 forecasters

How many Fortune 500 companies will have fewer than 5000 employees in the following years?

1

34

34 forecasters

What will the percent change in the US employment levels be in the following years relative to 2025?

4

46

46 forecasters

What will the US long-term unemployment rate be in the following years?

2

32

32 forecasters

What will the percent change be in the US community college/trade school degrees awarded in the following years relative to 2024-25?

1

26

26 forecasters