Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?15% chance88 comments5757 forecasters15%chance
How many of the 25 largest global companies will have a C-suite officer that specializes in AI, as of January 1, 2030?13 companies (8 - 19)55 comments1111 forecasters13 companies (8 - 19)
What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years?141212 comments9898 forecasters
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States and in the European Economic Area in 2027?122 comments88 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as restaurant servers in the US be relative to 2025?21717 comments3939 forecasters
What will the percent change in the Washington technology sector be in the following years relative to 2025?1313 comments3333 forecasters
What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026?663k ha (632k - 707k)399 comments7676 forecasters663k ha (632k - 707k)
What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies?3232 comments3838 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as K-12 teachers in the US be relative to 2025?21515 comments3737 forecasters
How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?7 countries (4 - 9)0 comments55 forecasters7 countries (4 - 9)
What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years?599 comments6767 forecasters
What will the percent change in people employed as physicians in the US be relative to 2025?22020 comments3737 forecasters
Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck before January 1, 2027?19% chance211 comment2727 forecasters19%chance
Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?80% chance72828 comments119119 forecasters80%chance
Will AI Daily's "AI Support" among American adults turn negative before 2027?35% chance33 comments1313 forecasters35%chance
How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?399 comments99 forecasters
What will the unemployment rate among new graduates be in the following years?21212 comments4444 forecasters
Will Germany, Italy, and Australia establish dedicated AI Safety Institutes before 2027?11212 comments2323 forecasters
How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031?5.05M units (1.19M - 13M)0 comments2323 forecasters5.05M units (1.19M - 13M)