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US Democracy Index

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Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

T156.3%

KT Rolster42.8%

Hanwha Life Esports0.1%

Key Factors

2 comments

27 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

15 comments

47 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 51.242B $

MSFTresult: 77.673B $

TSLAresult: 28.095B $

16 comments

45 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 1.05 $

MSFTresult: 3.72 $

TSLAresult: 0.39 $

24 comments

80 forecasters

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

50%chance

Key Factors

1 comment

9 forecasters

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

15%chance

23% this week

condition

13 forecasters

The Taiwan Tinderbox

96 comments

96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 52.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?"?

resultYes

14 comments

31 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

0 comments

32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%

Google Cloud20%

Microsoft Azure14%

Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will the community prediction be higher than 52.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?"?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025?

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

Before 2030, will a commercially available, general-purpose robot capable of learning new tasks via video be priced under $20,000 USD?

Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?

China bans imports from Taiwan by 2030?

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Will the community prediction be higher than 52.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?"?

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?