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Will a Space-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

26.5% chance

1111 comments
2
2 forecasters
26.5%chance

Will an Air-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

50% chance

33 comments
2
2 forecasters
50%chance

Will a Space-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

17.5% chance

66 comments
2
2 forecasters
17.5%chance

Will a Cognitive-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

5% chance

33 comments
1
1 forecaster
5%chance

Will a Cyber-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

75% chance

33 comments
2
2 forecasters
75%chance

Will a Land-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

15% chance

22 comments
1
1 forecaster
15%chance

Will a Protection-domain AMO acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

40% chance

44 comments
1
1 forecaster
40%chance

Will a Protection-domain AMO be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

25% chance

33 comments
1
1 forecaster
25%chance

Will a Land-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

30% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
30%chance

Will a Maritime-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

25% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
25%chance

Will a Maritime-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

10% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
10%chance

Will an Electromagnetic spectrum-domain AMC acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

15% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
15%chance

Will an Electromagnetic spectrum-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

20% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
20%chance

Will a Cognitive-domain AMC be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

50% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
50%chance

Will an Intelligence-domain AMO acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

5% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
5%chance

Will an Intelligence-domain AMO be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

20% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
20%chance

Will a Manoeuvre, fire, and effects domain AMO acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

40% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
40%chance

Will a Manoeuvre, fire, and effects-domain AMO be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

10% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
10%chance

Will an Information effects-domain AMO acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

10% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
10%chance

Will an Information effects-domain AMO be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

30% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
30%chance

Will a Sustainment-domain AMO acting outside its mandate cause 100 deaths or $5bn in damage within 5 years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

5% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
5%chance

Will a Sustainment-domain AMO be employed in an irregular seizure or retention of power within five years of one first being fielded by a G-20 state?

5% chance

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
5%chance