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Announcing the new Higher Education Series!
4
0
comments
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
96%
chance
4
comments
12
forecasters
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
chance
4
comments
53
forecasters
Will China's CO2 emissions peak before 2030?
80%
chance
20
comments
187
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
condition
China CO2 Emissions Reduction by 60% by 2030
5
forecasters
if yes
if no
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Jan 2037
First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?
Feb 2053
3
1
1
comment
5
5
forecasters
2
comments
37
forecasters
How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally in 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?
Current estimate
45.6 Gt CO₂e
8
comments
144
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
22%
chance
1
comment
28
forecasters
Will carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry exceed 20 gigatons per year in 2050?
66%
chance
7
comments
31
forecasters
What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?
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