• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
52 comments
279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
6 comments
129 forecasters

What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years?

condition

Solar Power Dominates Renewables by 2031?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Jan 2052

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2034
2
11 comment
5
5 forecasters
condition

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Oct 2060

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053
3
44 comments
1
1 forecaster
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the global methane output from the energy sector be at least 145 Mt for the year 2025?

62%chance
condition

Total Methane (Energy) Above 145 Mt in 2025?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053
1
11 comment
1
1 forecaster

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
11 comment
Space Technology & Climate

Climate — Last Wave and $2,500 for Comments

9
55 comments
Climate Tipping Points Round 2

The Climate Tipping Points Tournament

17
11 comment
Climate Tipping Points

Renewables Forecasting

23
22 comments
Metaculus Journal Archives