Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
12
comments
77
forecasters
Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?
2%
chance
2.7%
this week
44
comments
89
forecasters
When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?
Current estimate
Jun 2040
22
comments
282
forecasters
Will China reduce their carbon emissions per GDP by 60% by 2030?
67%
chance
0
comments
7
forecasters
When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?
Current estimate
2058 Year
3
comments
18
forecasters
Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?
34%
chance
5
comments
11
forecasters
What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?
Current estimate
17.4k GWh
0
comments
25
forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.886 countries
10
comments
101
forecasters
Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?
45%
chance
20
comments
184
forecasters
What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?
4
comments
13
forecasters
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
chance
Load More