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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
5
5
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
5
comments
8
forecasters
How much total space based solar PV (in GW) will be installed by the following years?
4
comments
32
forecasters
Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
result
No
2
comments
59
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
21
comments
305
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
44
comments
434
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
28%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
15
comments
282
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
8
comments
46
forecasters
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
24.5
Space station visits
19.2
Lunar exploration
4.8
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