• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
23 forecasters

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

0.2%chance
1.8% this week
81 comments
624 forecasters

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

40%chance
2 comments
95 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
4 comments
32 forecasters

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

resultNo
21 comments
302 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

30%chance
4% this week
55 comments
563 forecasters

Will the Universe end?

59%chance
0 comments
48 forecasters

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

1%chance
8 comments
46 forecasters

How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?

Crewed spaceflight24.1
Space station visits19.3
Lunar exploration4.87