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26
comments
43
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
9%
this week
18
comments
204
forecasters
Will we find life on Mars by 2050?
10%
chance
89
comments
1.6k
forecasters
Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?
22%
chance
35
comments
288
forecasters
Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?
28%
chance
20
comments
287
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%
chance
169
comments
243
forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30%
AI-Dystopia
23.7%
Singularia
18.9%
2 others
27%
16
comments
108
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
9
comments
75
forecasters
Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?
2%
chance
2%
this week
4
comments
41
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
16%
chance
4%
this week
‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week
17
43
43
comments
Five Years After AGI
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