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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
1
comment
23
forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
0.2%
chance
1.8%
this week
81
comments
624
forecasters
Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
40%
chance
2
comments
95
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
4
comments
32
forecasters
Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?
result
No
21
comments
302
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%
chance
4%
this week
55
comments
563
forecasters
Will the Universe end?
59%
chance
0
comments
48
forecasters
By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?
1%
chance
8
comments
46
forecasters
How many of the following space exploration activities will China conduct before 2030?
Crewed spaceflight
24.1
Space station visits
19.3
Lunar exploration
4.87
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