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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
26 comments
43 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
9% this week
18 comments
204 forecasters

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

10%chance
89 comments
1.6k forecasters

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

22%chance
35 comments
288 forecasters

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

28%chance
20 comments
287 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance
169 comments
243 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
16 comments
108 forecasters

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Europa36%
Mars35%
Enceladus10%
9 comments
75 forecasters

Before 2100, will AI cause the human population to fall below 5000 individuals?

2%chance
2% this week
4 comments
41 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?

16%chance
4% this week

‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week

17
4343 comments
Five Years After AGI