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Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

44%chance
6% this week

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

80%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

25%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance

How many deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

00

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

Will the Czech Republic be affected by a disease with an annual incidence of more than 6,000 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the given years?

2024result: No
20250.1%

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV3.6
Flu10.3
COVID-194.51
and 1 other

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

33%chance

If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

Mar 2036
2.3 years this week