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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
21 comments
299 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

26%chance
44 comments
432 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance
23 comments
413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

33%chance
169 comments
245 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30.6%
AI-Dystopia25.7%
Singularia18.5%

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments
Economist 2021
2 comments
57 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

community
32.7
result
19.42

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
3434 comments
Ragnarök Series
19 comments
146 forecasters

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

resultNo

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13
22 comments
Fermi Paradox Series

The black swan

16
5656 comments