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Artificial Intelligence
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169
comments
243
forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30%
AI-Dystopia
23.7%
Singularia
18.9%
2 others
27%
20
comments
287
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
24%
chance
21
comments
404
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
Economist 2021 Series Announcement
8
13
13
comments
Economist 2021
2
comments
57
forecasters
PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics
community
32.7
result
19.42
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34
34
comments
Ragnarök Series
19
comments
146
forecasters
Are we in a simulated reality? Part I
result
No
Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series
13
2
2
comments
Fermi Paradox Series
The black swan
16
56
56
comments
22
comments
281
forecasters
Are we in a simulated reality? Part II
15%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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