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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
169 comments
243 forecasters

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30%
AI-Dystopia23.7%
Singularia18.9%
20 comments
287 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance
21 comments
404 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

33%chance

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
1313 comments
Economist 2021
2 comments
57 forecasters

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

community
32.7
result
19.42

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
3434 comments
Ragnarök Series
19 comments
146 forecasters

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

resultNo

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13
22 comments
Fermi Paradox Series

The black swan

16
5656 comments
22 comments
281 forecasters

Are we in a simulated reality? Part II

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.