Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?45212212 comments316316 forecasters
If an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?25% chance262626 comments341341 forecasters25%chance
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?40% chance612323 comments431431 forecasters40%chance
PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics32.7 (22.4 - 45.1)422 comments5757 forecastersResolved19.42