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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

21%chance
4% this week

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

24%chance

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama30.4%
AI-Dystopia25.3%
Singularia19%
and 2 others

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance

Economist 2021 Series Announcement

8
13 comments13
Economist 2021

PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics

result19.42

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

resultNo

Discussion page for the Fermi Paradox question series

13
2 comments2
Fermi Paradox Series

The black swan

16
56 comments56