0 comments
98 forecasters
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
93.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
11 comments
93 forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
56.2 Deaths
0 comments
108 forecasters
[PRACTICE] What will be the community prediction of this question divided by 2?
Latest estimate
15.8 units
This question is closed for forecasting.
14 comments
84 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind20%
Microsoft5%
xAI4%
1 comment
38 forecasters
What percent of US health-related foreign development assistance for FY 2025 will be disbursed relative to funds allocated at the beginning of the fiscal year?
Current estimate
87.8%