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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
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comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
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3
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Research Agencies Outlook
0
comments
98
forecasters
Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?
93.5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
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15
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Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
0
comments
88
forecasters
What percent of US health-related foreign development assistance for FY 2025 will be disbursed relative to funds allocated at the beginning of the fiscal year?
Latest estimate
82.6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
3
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comments
AI Pathways Tournament
Platform feature suggestions
112
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3.1k
comments
Metaculus Meta
11
comments
101
forecasters
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
Current estimate
59.2 Deaths
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
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comments
2
comments
8
forecasters
What will the US population be in these years, in millions?
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