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0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
84 forecasters

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

Latest estimate
108k deaths

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
84 forecasters

Will the number of partially functional fixed hospitals in the Gaza Strip be at or below 17 in the latest WHO/OCHA report published between Oct 15 and Dec 31, 2025 (UTC)?

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
95 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate
40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

15 comments
16 forecasters

What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?

H3N281.6
H1N120.6
H5<0.1

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
96 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

resultNo
82 comments
2.1k forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

6%chance
0 comments
106 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.