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0 comments
95 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate
40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
83 forecasters

How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?

Latest estimate
77.2 cases

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
109 forecasters

Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?

14%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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Metaculus Meta

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
0 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

31.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

14 comments
31 forecasters

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-10-22 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

resultNo

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1515 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge