0 comments
99 forecasters
Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?
8%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
87 forecasters
Will any North Atlantic hurricane reach Category 4 or 5 intensity between 2025-10-15 and 2025-12-31 (UTC)?
97%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
3 forecasters
By 2031, will at least two new significant regulatory actions restricting China's access to advanced semiconductor technology be implemented?
99.9%chance
20% this week
0 comments
84 forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Latest estimate
108k deaths
This question is closed for forecasting.
1 comment
13 forecasters
How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?
427%
6 or more25.3%
115.2%
0 comments
101 forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
95 forecasters
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Latest estimate
40.7M birds
This question is closed for forecasting.
15 comments
16 forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H3N281.8
H1N120.4
H5<0.1
82 comments
2.1k forecasters
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
6%chance
