Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?
Median prob. among Unjournal experts: “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030 (+/- percent)?