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Winners of the Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

2
22 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
0 comments
84 forecasters

Will the number of partially functional fixed hospitals in the Gaza Strip be at or below 17 in the latest WHO/OCHA report published between Oct 15 and Dec 31, 2025 (UTC)?

65%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
93 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 8.00% on 2025-12-06 for the Metaculus question "Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?"?

27%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

8%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Platform feature suggestions

113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta
0 comments
101 forecasters

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
66 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
95 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Latest estimate
40.7M birds

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

96 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 20.00% on 2025-11-07 for the Metaculus question "Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?"?

resultNo