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🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
10 comments
7 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

15%chance
0 comments
88 forecasters

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

Low78.1%
Moderate (or medium or equivalent)18.8%
High (or above, such as Very High)3.1%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments
215 forecasters

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Current estimate
55.5M birds
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

8
4646 comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Market Pulse 25Q4 Opens

3
55 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q4
13 comments
18 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

00

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments