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0
comments
101
forecasters
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
83
forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
109
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
14%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
6
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students
8
16
16
comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
13
comments
22
forecasters
What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?
Moderate
61.2%
High
21.5%
Low (or lower)
14.2%
1 other
3%
14
comments
17
forecasters
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
Current estimate
83.5%
12
comments
15
forecasters
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
H1N1
53.8
H3N2
43.6
H5
<0.1
15
comments
19
forecasters
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
00
12
comments
17
forecasters
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?
RSV
3.54
Flu
9.7
COVID-19
4.12
1 other
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