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🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup
5
39
39
comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video
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16
16
comments
Introducing Comments of the Week
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20
20
comments
23
comments
81
forecasters
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1.5%
chance
1.3%
this week
Suggest questions to launch
121
2.8k
2.8k
comments
Metaculus Meta
condition
CTs Policy Response After AI Catastrophe
16
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
65%
65%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
30%
30%
2
3
3
comments
16
16
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
12
comments
48
forecasters
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
result
No
Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
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comments
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
13
comments
3
forecasters
How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?
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