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0
comments
107
forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
2
2
comments
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
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Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students
8
15
15
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RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
8
comments
35
forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
5
5
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures
5
1
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comment
14
comments
63
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
24%
Amazon
5%
Microsoft
4%
14 others
Contributed by the
AI 2025 Forecasting Survey
community.
0
comments
14
forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?
20%
chance
10%
this week
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