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107 forecasters

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

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113
3.1k3.1k comments
Metaculus Meta

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1515 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge
8 comments
35 forecasters

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

5
11 comment
14 comments
63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind24%
Amazon5%
Microsoft4%

Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?

20%chance
10% this week