14 comments
85 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind13%
Microsoft5%
xAI3%
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
0 comments
12 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on Persuasion?
30%chance
20% this week
3 comments
37 forecasters
Before 2029, will a new international organization focused on AI safety be established with participation from at least three G7 countries?
40%chance
6.4% this week
44 comments
422 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
25%chance
5% this week
26 comments
43 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%chance
3% this week
7 comments
35 forecasters