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Metaculus Meta
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107 forecasters

At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?

35%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments

Launched: The RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge | $10K in Prizes + Opportunities for Students

8
1616 comments
RAND x Metaculus Policy Challenge

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
8 comments
35 forecasters

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
0 comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
14 comments
121 forecasters

Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?

resultNo