26 comments
42 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%chance
22% this week
20 comments
286 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%chance
4 comments
15 forecasters
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
Current estimate
19.2%
6 comments
16 forecasters
If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?
Latest estimate
5011
This question is closed for forecasting.
21 comments
403 forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%chance
1 comment
20 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Current estimate
142M $