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2 comments
59 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
9 comments
76 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance
33 comments
457 forecasters

Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back before May 1, 2026?

40%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

54 comments
284 forecasters

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

50%chance
9 comments
261 forecasters

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

5%chance

Key Factors

8 comments
16 forecasters

What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?

11 comments
52 forecasters

If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?

Current estimate
70.5k humans

Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

0 comments
4 forecasters

Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?

Embryo gene editing45.9%
In vitro gametogenesis (IVG)32.3%
Neither/Other21.8%
9 comments
19 forecasters

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

Current estimate
2150
4 comments
84 forecasters

Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?

75%chance