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US Democracy Index

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What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Other Renewables (e.g., solar, wind, biomass)26.8%

Oil26.2%

Natural Gas15.7%

5 comments

66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20%chance

4% this week

1 comment

4 forecasters

Will Helion deliver ≥50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?

15%chance

9 comments

25 forecasters

Will >1% of global primary aluminum be produced by carbon-free technology before 2030?

43.2%chance

9.9% this week

5 comments

49 forecasters

In which year will AI infrastructure account for 10% or more of global electricity consumption?

Not before 203178.5%

2029 or 203017.1%

2027 or 20284.3%

11 comments

47 forecasters

What percent of US energy will be produced by nuclear fission power in 2050?

Current estimate

9.69%

7 comments

31 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

7 comments

37 forecasters

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

22%chance

16 comments

28 forecasters

What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?

4 comments

4 forecasters

In the following years, how much energy will be used (in terawatt-hours) by data centers?

205026.2k

20406638

20302126