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6 comments
7 forecasters

How much solar PV energy capacity will be installed each year from 2023-2030 in gigawatts?

1 comment
4 forecasters

Will Helion deliver β‰₯50 MW to Microsoft under their fusion PPA before January 1, 2030?

15%chance
5 comments
51 forecasters

In which year will AI infrastructure account for 10% or more of global electricity consumption?

Not before 203174%
2029 or 203020.6%
2027 or 20285.2%

Key Factors

4 comments
12 forecasters

Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?

4%chance
5 comments
66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20%chance
7 comments
31 forecasters

What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?

5 comments
15 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

18%chance
5 comments
11 forecasters

What will net U.S. geothermal electricity production be in the year 2026, in GWh?

Current estimate
17.4k GWh
12 comments
62 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Current estimate
Feb 2051
7 comments
17 forecasters

Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?

80%chance