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2
comments
33
forecasters
In which year will AI infrastructure account for 10% or more of global electricity consumption?
Not before 2031
71.9%
2029 or 2030
25%
2027 or 2028
3%
1 other
0%
16
comments
28
forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the energy transition metal index for the value in December of the listed year relative to the value in December 2020?
7
comments
31
forecasters
What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years?
4
comments
13
forecasters
Will renewable energy exceed 55% of global electricity generation before 2030, according to Our World in Data?
4%
chance
4
comments
65
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
7
comments
35
forecasters
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
22%
chance
7
comments
17
forecasters
Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?
80%
chance
7
comments
7
forecasters
What percentage of U.S. electricity will come from renewable sources (wind, solar, hydro) in 2025?
Current estimate
24.3
4
comments
36
forecasters
What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?
38
comments
76
forecasters
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
Current estimate
Oct 2046
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