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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

7%chance

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

resultNo

Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?

resultNo

Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?

resultNo

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

30%chance

Wanted: pandemic project lead

9
10 comments10
Metaculus Meta

Biosecurity Tournament Hidden Period Over

14
no comments0
Biosecurity Tournament

Will a biologic therapy targeting Mycobacterium tuberculosis be tested in humans before 2038?

61.8%chance

From Reduction to Elimination: Replicating the Successes of Historical Tuberculosis Control

5
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives