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What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Combinedresult: 19.4 per 100k
Fluresult: 13.6 per 100k
COVID-19result: 4.2 per 100k
and 1 other

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

resultNo

⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

5%chance

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

resultNo