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⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

50%chance

When will the first medical treatment based on nanorobots happen?

Mar 2034
→←9.1 months this week

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

resultYes

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

resultNo

Clinical trials of a "universal" snakebite antidote?

resultNo

Funding for a study of anti-aging properties of the diabetes drug Metformin?

resultNo

Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?

resultNo

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo