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⚕️Primum Non Nocere: A Physician’s Perspective on AI in Medicine

10
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Ambiguous

Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?

resultNo

New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?

resultNo

Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?

resultYes

Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?

resultNo

When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?

Feb 2031

Ideas for clinical trials contest

17
15 comments15

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%chance

Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

40%chance