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Will SpaceX fail to make any new posts on its Updates page before January 1, 2025?

Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will a rogue Artificial Intelligence system, acting autonomously, cause at least the following numbers of deaths before 2050?

1

What will be the world population in the following years?

9

How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?

2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31

2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31

2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31

22

Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?

6

Predictions as Public Works Project — What Metaculus Is Building Next

12

Five years after AGI, will a ‘long reflection’ be underway?

2

Five Years After AGI

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

6

Five Years After AGI

‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week

17

Five Years After AGI

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

8