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Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

60%chance

Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?

resultNo

If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?

Ambiguous

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Futurama29.3%
AI-Dystopia28%
Singularia17.3%
and 2 others