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When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

06 Nov 2029

Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

60%chance

Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?

resultNo

If tested, would GPT-3 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 4th graders?

Ambiguous

If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?

Ambiguous

Elliptic Curves, Diophantine Equations, and Cryptography

12
no comments0

Computability and Complexity

16
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the median annual wage for computer and mathematical occupations in the United States in 2025?

114k $

Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?

12
13 comments13

Will quantum effects be widely accepted as responsible for consciousness before 2075?

5%chance