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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Beyond Benchmark Rates: How Modern Central Banks Tighten Monetary Policy

10
1 comment1

Two Theories of Inflation

25
10 comments10

What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?

UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: Yes
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%result: No
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%result: No
and 1 other

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%chance

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
no comments0
condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters
if yes
if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%
17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%
11%
1
no comments0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
condition

Federal Reserve Adoption of NGDP Targeting

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

US unemployment after next market crash

5.76

US unemployment after next market crash

6.12
1
no comments0

How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

What will be the Trade Openness Index for the United States in the following years?

204031.8
203028.6
202522.8
and 1 other