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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

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Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win71.8%

Nathan Young win23.8%

Other4.3%

Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

5%chance

30% this week

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

Forecast revealed

in 5 days

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

Forecast revealed

in 5 days

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Forecast revealed

in 2 days

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

What will be the ranking of the Stuff You Should Know podcast on the Spotify charts on July 1, 2025?

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Key Factor

What will be the ranking of the Stuff You Should Know podcast on the Spotify charts on July 1, 2025?

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Nathan Young on the progress of Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

Will the One Big Beautiful Bill Act contain a 5+ year AI moratorium provision and be signed into law before July 2026?

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Key Factor

What will be the ranking of the Stuff You Should Know podcast on the Spotify charts on July 1, 2025?