• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
📈
Market Pulse Challenge
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
☀️
Bright Line Watch
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
🌍🤲
Forecast With GiveWell
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Texasresult: Yes
Floridaresult: Yes
Missouriresult: Yes
and 12 others

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Key Factor

Public Benefit by better returns on Tax & benefit of better protection.

7%chance

Key Factor

Public Benefit by better returns on Tax & benefit of better protection.

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

Democrats78%
Republicans21.9%
Other0.1%

Key Factor

Spreading of Deepfakes

Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections?

Democrat Senate, Rep Houseresult: Yes
Republican Senate & Houseresult: No
Republican Senate, Dem Houseresult: No
and 1 other

[Short Fuse] Who will be the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress?

Kevin McCarthy (R)result: Yes
Elise Stefanik (R)result: No
Donald Trump (R)result: No
and 10 others

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

Mike Johnson (R)result: Yes
Kevin Hern (R)Annulled
Steve Scalise (R)result: No
and 18 others

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

no comments0

When will the first YouTube star – famous FIRST because of YouTube stardom – be elected to Congress?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Jul 2031

How many COVID-19 cases in the US federal legislature will be publicly reported before 2021?

result52