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Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?

60.7%chance

Will NOAA report that May 2025 is the hottest May on record?

resultNo

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Comparing Forecasting Track Records for AI Benchmarking and Beyond

15
28 comments28

Will NOAA's Climate.gov still be online on July 1, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

85%chance

Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress

12
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

Orbital Allies: How Space Technology Fuels Sustainable Development and Climate Action

9
1 comment1
Space Technology & Climate

Will the US military's climate resiliance portal be back online on July 1, 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

15%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance