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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

4
no comments0

Will the Iranian government lose power before 2027?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Will the United States conduct a ground invasion of Iran before 2027?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What will be the total US public spending on AI-related contracts in 2029?

Forecast revealed in 15 hours

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will any regulatory body ban the deployment of AI agents within an OECD country before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 15 hours

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a national-level law that restricts the deployment of high-risk AI systems before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 15 hours

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

How many of the following countries will enact a comprehensive national-level AI law before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 15 hours
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

7 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

25%
25%

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

12%
12%
1 comment1

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

26%chance