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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

5
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

4%chance
26% this week

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic reach or surpass ASL-4?

15 Jun 2030

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

10%chance

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

15%chance
24% this week

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will OpenAI first report that an AI system has achieved the following a risk levels on Biological and Chemical?

00

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Google first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following Cyber risk levels?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will OpenAI first report that an AI system has achieved the following a risk levels on Cybersecurity?

00

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following AI R&D risk levels?

00

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

resultNo