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What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?

21
12 comments12
Metaculus Journal Archives

Predicting Russia's Failure

3
14 comments14
Metaculus Journal Archives

Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations

13
2 comments2
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine

no comments0

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Nuclear proliferation, force sizes, & yields

6
6 comments6
Nuclear Risk Tournament

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

Most likely way(s) a nuclear war involving hundreds of detonations could end up occurring by 2050?

1
no comments0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Overall, has nuclear risk risen or fallen in the last three decades, and will it rise or fall over the next three decades?

no comments0
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest