• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?

95%chance
5% this week

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

73%chance

What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?

33.7
tankers
1377.1 percentage points this week

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

19%chance
26% this week

Key Factor

M23 rebel position supported by Rwanda

Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

55%chance

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

22%chance

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

resultYes

Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

0.1%chance

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup