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By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
370 forecasters
56
19 comments
19
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
221 forecasters
33
27 comments
27
Ragnarök Series
Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?
3.48×10⁻⁴
164 forecasters
28
10 comments
10
Fermi Paradox Series
What will be the minimum price (in 2021 USD) to clone a pet dog in 2030?
12.6k
27 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?
Resolved :
No
10%
122 forecasters
13
16 comments
16
Pandemic Series (2018)
Playing God Question Series
7
no comments
0
Playing God Series
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
14
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
Animal Welfare Series
11
2 comments
2
Animal Welfare Series
PhilPapers survey mini-series: Permissibility of genetic engineering
Resolved :
64.2
55.8
57 forecasters
8
2 comments
2
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