• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Pandemic series: efficient human-to-human transmission of H5N1?

resultNo

Drake's Equation 5th Parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?

3.48×10⁻⁴%

Playing God Question Series

7
no comments0
Playing God Series

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14
5 comments5
Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series

Animal Welfare Series

11
2 comments2
Animal Welfare Series

The Salk Tournament for coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Vaccine R&D

24
34 comments34

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%chance