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Oct 17 Update: Bot Templates & Tutorials Available for the Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark
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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
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Winners of the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup!
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๐ Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?
Closed
192
58 comments
58
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
26
312 comments
312
Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?
Closed
59
38 comments
38
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
43
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46
Pandemic Series (2018)
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
Closed
39
78 comments
78
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?
60%
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28
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (โชโNIS) exchange rate on these dates?
November 15
3.72
December 30
3.74
4
2 comments
2
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
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