• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

The Expansion of Executive War Powers

6
3 comments3
Metaculus Journal Archives

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
and 17 others

Will Elon Musk hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?

5%chance

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Angela Rayner30%
Keir Starmer20%
Andy Burnham15%
and 6 others

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and (Sort Of) Love Nuclear Forecasting

21
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Which anonymous administration figure authored the NYT editorial?

8
20 comments20

Future Perfect 2020 Series

7
5 comments5
Future Perfect 2020 Series

Will Wayne Hsiung be elected mayor of Berkeley in 2020?

resultNo

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
1 comment1
Future Perfect 2021 Series

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

1.5%chance