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Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will any members of the European Parliament resign before July 1, 2025?

resultNo

Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?

3%chance
17% this week

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

If there is a violent attack by an individual in the EU with 50 or more victims in the next 5 years, how likely is it that they will be followers of the ideology:

Islámský extremismus55.5%
Pravicový extremismus34.5%
Levicový a anarchistický extremismus5%
and 1 other

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.7%chance

How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019?

result227

Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt?

resultYes

Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?

resultNo

Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

97.4

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

7.11