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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following AI R&D risk levels?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for June 2025?

-16.2 to -15.2result: Yes
-15.1 to -14.7result: No
-14.6 to -14.3result: No
and 5 others

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2025-26 season among the following groups in the US?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

How many cases of cybercrime will the Police of the Czech Republic register in 2025?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 75% accuracy be reached on LAB-Bench Cloning Scenarios by a Claude Sonnet 4 scale model by Anthropic?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 75% accuracy be reached on LAB-Bench Cloning Scenarios by a Claude Opus 4 scale model by Anthropic?

What percentage in the US will trust AI in the following years, according to the Edelman Trust Barometer?

202638.7
202849
203049.7

What will be the highest average score among a selected subset of VideoGameBench on January 1, 2028?

72%
15.1 % this week

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years?

20251.37
20261.83
2030?
and 3 others

What percentage of AI computational performance will be located in the United States on January 1, 2028?

69.6%
2.5 % this week