• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

3
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

2
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following AI R&D risk levels?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 80% accuracy be achieved on Cybench by a Claude Opus 4 scale model by Anthropic?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 80% accuracy be achieved on Cybench by a Llama 4 Behemoth scale model by Meta?

Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting

12
2 comments2

What percentage in the US will trust AI in the following years, according to the Edelman Trust Barometer?

202638.7
202849
203049.7

Contribute to the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

How many months ahead of the rest of the world will the US be in the following AI benchmarks on January 1, 2027?

RE-Bench3.39
FrontierMath3.45
Top Capabilities Benchmark3.39