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🌐 Forecast in the Global Pulse Tournament
16
10 comments
10
Global Pulse Tournament
Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool
13
6 comments
6
How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?
20k
105 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?
7.02k
78 forecasters
10
9 comments
9
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?
Resolved :
No
16%
112 forecasters
11
12 comments
12
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
10%
238 forecasters
43
46 comments
46
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?
Resolved :
No
5%
155 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: attack using a genetically engineered virus by 2020?
Resolved :
No
32%
81 forecasters
12
1 comment
1
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
Resolved :
No
50%
132 forecasters
29
7 comments
7
Pandemic Series (2018)
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?
Resolved :
No
15%
131 forecasters
13
4 comments
4
Pandemic Series (2018)
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