• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

The Lightning Round Tournament: Comparing Metaculus Forecasters to Infectious Disease Experts

37
85 comments85
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Lightning Round Tournament Discussion 1.0

7
5 comments5
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round

Announcing Round 2 of the Metaculus Academy Summer Series for New Forecasters

5
1 comment1
Academy Summer Series

Future Perfect 2021 Series

7
1 comment1
Future Perfect 2021 Series

What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?

result60.4

What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?

result1.4

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?

result9

In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?

result1245

Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?

resultNo

Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?

resultNo