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The State of Metaculus
6
11 comments
11
Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?
60%
2018 forecasters
80
112 comments
112
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?
35%
1656 forecasters
56
51 comments
51
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
7%
1148 forecasters
