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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

9%chance

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

73%chance
4% this week

Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?

15%chance
13% this week

Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?

resultYes

Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?

Key Factor

Israeli air strikes risk diplomatic collapse

5%chance
2.5% this week

Key Factor

Israeli air strikes risk diplomatic collapse

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

resultNo

When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?

result13 Jun 2025 03:00

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2029?

28%chance

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

May 2042