• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Tech Futures - 52 Conversation Starters

2
3 comments3

Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies

19
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

When will AI arrive?

1
no comments0

Experimental tests of quantum effects in cognition?

resultNo

Are we in a simulated reality? Part I

resultNo

Are we in a simulated reality? Part II

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

15%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14
5 comments5
Ragnarök Series

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
34 comments34
Ragnarök Series