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Q3 AI Benchmarking Results

11

Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark

9

A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source

25

256 comments256

The Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Is Live! (Scoring Begins 10/21)

Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?

7

🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?

43

Pandemic Series (2018)

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

39

Mpox (Monkeypox)

Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?

29

Pandemic Series (2018)

Quarterly Cup Tournament: Q4 2024

27

🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆

When will 1bn people have been vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?

21