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Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

Substance is all you need.

2
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?

85%chance
5% this week

Update: the variants vs. the vaccines

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A Case for Nuanced Risk Assessment

10
1 comment1
Metaculus Journal Archives

Conference Summary: Threshold 2030 - Modeling AI Economic Futures

5
3 comments3

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
no comments0