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Forecast With GiveWell: $3,500 in Prizes for Comments Made by End of December!
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How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley?
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8 forecasters
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Platform feature suggestions
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‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week
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Five Years After AGI
Playing God Question Series
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Playing God Series
Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?
Resolved :
No
129 forecasters
39
37 comments
37
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
36%
356 forecasters
55
18 comments
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Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
36.9%
371 forecasters
38
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
Predict your true beliefs
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Metaculus Meta
Ragnarök Question Series: overview
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Ragnarök Series
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