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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

20%chance

Where is the AGI Roadmap?

5
2 comments2
AI Progress Essay Contest

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No
and 2 others

Human-Level Language Models

36
16 comments16

Substance is all you need.

2
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Threshold 2030: 30 economists & AI policy experts forecast AI's economic impact

5
no comments0

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

27%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

50.8%chance